VoteWe called 60 of 64 races right
Democrats won the Senate, the House and most governorships, as we forecast.
The big calls
| We said | Result so far | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Senate | Democrats 52–48 | Democrats 53, Republicans 44 · 3 still counting | ✓ |
| House | Democrats 232–203 | Democrats win the House | ✓ |
| Governors | Democrats 30–20 | Democrats 27, Republicans 20 · 3 still counting | ✓ |
60/64races called right (94%)
3/3Senate, House and governor majorities
44/44right when 90%+ sure
4/4misses were toss-ups
How sure we were
90%+ sure44 of 44 right
70–90% sure11 of 11 right
Toss-ups5 of 9 right
Toss-ups we got right
- Kansas Senate: we said Hamilton by less than 0.1. Result: Hamilton by 4.8.
- Nevada governor: we said Ford by 0.2. Result: Ford by 7.5.
- Georgia governor: we said Bottoms by 0.2. Result: Bottoms by 8.6.
- Texas Senate: we said Talarico by 1.3. Result: Talarico by 12.3.
- Ohio Senate: we said Brown by 1.8. Result: Brown by 4.8.
The closest races
| Race | We said | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kansas Senate | Hamilton by less than 0.1 | Hamilton by 4.8 | ✓ |
| Nevada governor | Ford by 0.2 | Ford by 7.5 | ✓ |
| Georgia governor | Bottoms by 0.2 | Bottoms by 8.6 | ✓ |
| Iowa Senate | Hinson by 0.3 | Turek by 4.1 | ✗ |
| Kansas governor | Holscher by 0.4 | Still counting | |
| Alaska Senate | Sullivan by 0.6 | Still counting | |
| Vermont governor | Janoo by 0.9 | Scott by 7.0 | ✗ |
| Texas Senate | Talarico by 1.3 | Talarico by 12.3 | ✓ |
| Ohio Senate | Brown by 1.8 | Brown by 4.8 | ✓ |
| South Carolina Senate | Graham by 2.0 | Andrews by 4.4 | ✗ |
| Texas governor | Abbott by 2.3 | Hinojosa by 7.3 | ✗ |
| Oregon governor | Kotek by 3.6 | Kotek by 6.2 | ✓ |
| Ohio governor | Acton by 3.7 | Acton by 7.9 | ✓ |
| Maine Senate | Jackson by 3.7 | Jackson by 7.7 | ✓ |