Our forecast
Starts when the candidates are set and the polls come in.
November 7, 2028 · All races
Starts when the candidates are set and the polls come in.
| Year | Winner | Result |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 | Peter Welch (D) | won by 40.5 points |
| 2016 | Patrick J. Leahy (D) | won by 28.3 points |
| 2010 | Patrick J. Leahy (D) | won by 33.4 points |
2024: Democrat by 31.2 · 2020: Democrat by 35.1
No polls yet.