Our forecast
Starts when the candidates are set and the polls come in.
November 7, 2028 · All races
Starts when the candidates are set and the polls come in.
| Year | Winner | Result |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 | Tammy Duckworth (D) | won by 15.3 points |
| 2016 | Tammy Duckworth (D) | won by 15.1 points |
| 2010 | Mark Kirk (R) | won by 1.6 points |
2024: Democrat by 10.9 · 2020: Democrat by 17.0
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