Our forecast
Starts when the candidates are set and the polls come in.
November 7, 2028 · All races
Starts when the candidates are set and the polls come in.
| Year | Winner | Result |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 | Mark Kelly (D) | won by 4.9 points |
| 2020 (special) | Mark Kelly (D) | won by 2.3 points |
| 2016 | John McCain (R) | won by 13.0 points |
2024: Republican by 5.5 · 2020: Democrat by 0.3
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