Our forecast
Starts when the candidates are set and the polls come in.
November 7, 2028 · All races
Starts when the candidates are set and the polls come in.
| Year | Winner | Result |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Matthew Meyer (D) | won by 12.1 points |
| 2020 | John C. Carney Jr. (D) | won by 20.8 points |
| 2016 | John C. Carney Jr. (D) | won by 19.2 points |
2024: Democrat by 14.7 · 2020: Democrat by 19.0
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