Our forecast
Starts when the candidates are set and the polls come in.
November 2, 2027 · All races
Starts when the candidates are set and the polls come in.
| Year | Winner | Result |
|---|---|---|
| 2023 | Tate Reeves (R) | won by 3.2 points |
| 2019 | Tate Reeves (R) | won by 5.1 points |
| 2015 | Phil Bryant (R) | won by 33.9 points |
2024: Republican by 22.9 · 2020: Republican by 16.5
No polls yet.